Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.144465 3.734670 4.437164 5.344210 6.497895 7.934893 9.889975e+00
2024-10-13 2.241402 2.928766 3.855836 5.233373 7.293108 10.372246 1.556188e+01
2024-10-20 1.883385 2.614920 3.685212 5.435694 8.376598 13.433234 2.361147e+01
2024-10-27 1.581250 2.291498 3.393141 5.327848 8.884206 15.732826 3.180476e+01
2024-11-03 1.463371 2.212110 3.443297 5.769866 10.476871 20.762463 4.973930e+01
2024-11-10 1.328607 2.076332 3.364545 5.949570 11.622256 25.487687 7.195296e+01
2024-11-17 1.235209 1.991087 3.351813 6.245086 13.128176 32.025070 1.088420e+02
2024-11-24 1.117010 1.842637 3.192851 6.194417 13.805413 36.794180 1.475758e+02
2024-12-01 1.033609 1.744310 3.110958 6.288914 14.897730 43.711840 2.126528e+02
2024-12-08 0.956911 1.647439 3.014475 6.324620 15.854172 51.039266 3.035570e+02
2024-12-15 0.912095 1.605342 3.023001 6.616945 17.721902 63.894929 4.967654e+02
2024-12-22 0.839352 1.498828 2.876587 6.478377 18.159785 71.009773 6.807679e+02
2024-12-29 0.773747 1.409605 2.778218 6.514959 19.512635 86.277389 1.174160e+03
2025-01-05 0.701276 1.299456 2.620207 6.364928 20.227707 100.376237 1.982972e+03
2025-01-12 0.662585 1.254464 2.604554 6.624741 22.797774 133.230084 4.908685e+03
2025-01-19 0.608164 1.167817 2.472202 6.486414 23.589363 155.406215 9.946883e+03
2025-01-26 0.592827 1.165467 2.549268 7.054364 28.287112 233.633405 6.057002e+04
2025-02-02 0.563820 1.127877 2.528181 7.286119 31.561116 316.188495 5.690165e+05
2025-02-09 0.542862 1.106147 2.545399 7.668266 36.235876 459.201528 1.047541e+09
2025-02-16 0.508576 1.048326 2.452746 7.602654 38.052467 569.761564 NaN
2025-02-23 0.483577 1.010206 2.409780 7.725049 41.452663 770.139494 NaN
2025-03-02 0.458642 0.969401 2.352334 7.771331 44.452900 1022.045318 NaN
2025-03-09 0.444585 0.954311 2.369009 8.150912 50.953331 1619.551119 NaN